Showing posts with label polls are wrong. Show all posts
Showing posts with label polls are wrong. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

The Media is rigging the polls with Directions from THE CLINTON CAMP. Here is definitive proof

THE POLLS ARE WRONG... THE POLLSTERS KNOW IT..
History is on our side and AMERICA knows what it needs to do in the end.

OCTOBER 23rd 2016...

New Podesta Email Exposes Dem Playbook For Rigging Polls Through "Oversamples"

SO are even #billoreilly and #Chriswallace just too stupid to do the research?

BREAKING FROM WIKILEAKS: CLINTON CAMPAIGN BRIBES #LEFTYMEDIA TO RIG THE POLLS.
Now, for all of you out there who still aren't convinced that the polls are "adjusted", we present to you the following Podesta email, leaked earlier today, that conveniently spells out, in detail, exactly how to "manufacture" the desired data. The email starts out with a request for recommendations on "oversamples for polling" in order to "maximize what we get out of our media polling."
I also want to get your Atlas folks to recommend oversamples for our polling before we start in February. By market, regions, etc. I want to get this all compiled into one set of recommendations so we can maximize what we get out of our media polling.
The email even includes a handy, 37-page guide with the following poll-rigging recommendations. In Arizona, over sampling of Hispanics and Native Americans is highly recommended:
Research, microtargeting & polling projects
- Over-sample Hispanics
- Use Spanish language interviewing. (Monolingual Spanish-speaking voters are among the lowest turnout Democratic targets)
- Over-sample the Native American population.


Earlier we wrote posted the obvious sampling bias in the latest ABC / Washington Post poll that showed a 12-point national advantage for Hillary.  Like many of the recent polls from Reuters, ABC and The Washington Post, this latest poll included a 9-point sampling bias toward registered democrats
"METHODOLOGY – This ABC News poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 20-22, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 874 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 36-27-31 percent, Democrats - Republicans - Independents."
Of course, while democrats may enjoy a slight registration advantage of a couple of points, it is nowhere near the 9 points reflected in this latest poll. 
Meanwhile, we also pointed out that with huge variances in preference across demographics one can easily "rig" a poll by over indexing to one group vs. another.  As a quick example, the ABC / WaPo poll found that Hillary enjoys a 79-point advantage over Trump with black voters.  Therefore, even a small "oversample" of black voters of 5% could swing the overall poll by 3 full points.  Moreover, the pollsters don't provide data on the demographic mix of their polls which makes it impossible to "fact check" the bias...convenient.
ABC Poll

Now, for all of you out there who still aren't convinced that the polls are "adjusted", we present to you the following Podesta email, leaked earlier today, that conveniently spells out, in detail, exactly how to "manufacture" the desired data. The email starts out with a request for recommendations on "oversamples for polling" in order to "maximize what we get out of our media polling."
I also want to get your Atlas folks to recommend oversamples for our polling before we start in February. By market, regions, etc. I want to get this all compiled into one set of recommendations so we can maximize what we get out of our media polling.
The email even includes a handy, 37-page guide with the following poll-rigging recommendations.  In Arizona, over sampling of Hispanics and Native Americans is highly recommended:
Research, microtargeting & polling projects
Over-sample Hispanics
-  Use Spanish language interviewing. (Monolingual Spanish-speaking voters are among the lowest turnout Democratic targets)
Over-sample the Native American population

For Florida, the report recommends "consistently monitoring" samples to makes sure they're "not too old" and "has enough African American and Hispanic voters."  Meanwhile, "independent" voters in Tampa and Orlando are apparently more dem friendly so the report suggests filling up independent quotas in those cities first.
Consistently monitor the sample to ensure it is not too old, and that it has enough African American and Hispanic voters to reflect the state.
-  On Independents: Tampa and Orlando are better persuasion targets than north or south Florida (check your polls before concluding this). If there are budget questions or oversamples, make sure that Tampa and Orlando are included first.

Meanwhile, it's suggested that national polls over sample "key districts / regions" and "ethnic" groups "as needed."

-  General election benchmark, 800 sample, with potential over samples in key districts/regions
-  Benchmark polling in targeted races, with ethnic over samples as needed
-  Targeting tracking polls in key races, with ethnic over samples as needed


Oversample

And that's how you manufacture a 12-point lead for your chosen candidate and effectively chill the vote of your opposition. 

Here is the full report of "Polling & Media Recommendations" from "The Atlas Project."




DO NOT FRET.. JUST KEEP SPREADING THE WORD IN SOCIAL MEDIA.

 
TRUMP WILL WIN.. UNLESS GEORGE SORROS AND THE DEMOCRATS RIG THE VOTING MACHINES IN SWING STATES.

FOR DETAILS ON HOW THE POLLING IS A FRAUD CLICK ON MY BLOG HERE http://john-gaultier.blogspot.com/2016/10/polling-your-leg-whole-polling-scam-by.html


This years elections are different from the 1980 elections in that the Media were not blatantly for Hillary Clinton and against Donald Trump. So the polls reflect that 100%. The Mood on the Ground is totally different. AMERICANS KNOW WHAT TO DO. Keep Spreading the truth.

The Media does not have the exponential power of our joint network of Americans.


Confidence in the press is low compared to most other institutions. Only Politicians fare worse than the Media.

      YOU CAN SEE WHY.. THEY ARE ALL CROOKS

Confidence in the press is low compared to most other institutions


A great deal of confidence Only some confidence Hardly any confidence
Military 48% 45% 6%
Scientific community 35% 53% 10%
Supreme Court 26% 59% 14%
Organized religion 20% 56% 24%
Banks and financial institutions 17% 59% 24%
Press 6% 52% 41%
Congress 4% 46% 50%

SO YOU CAN SEE THAT THE MEDIA REPORTING HAS NEXT TO ZERO VALUE .. ONLY THE MONKEYS WHO  WANT HILLARY BELIEVE THEIR BIASED BULLSHIT.

In a Gallup poll on October 26th in 1980, two weeks before the election, Gallup had it Jimmy Carter 47, Ronald Reagan 39.  That election two weeks later ended up in a landslide that was so big that Carter conceded before California closed.
United States presidential election, 1980

1980
Month Ronald Reagan (R) % Jimmy Carter (D) % John B. Anderson (I) %
December 1979/January 1980 33% 62%
February/March 31% 60%
33% 58%
34% 40% 21%
April/May 34% 41% 18%
32% 38% 21%
32% 40% 21%
June/July 32% 39% 21%
33% 35% 24%
37% 32% 22%
37% 34% 21%
August/September 45% 29% 14%
38% 39% 13%
39% 39% 14%
October/November 40% 44% 9%
39% 45% 9%
47% 44% 8%
Actual result 51% 41% 7%
Difference between actual result and final poll +4% -3% -1%
Incumbent President Jimmy Carter initially had a huge lead in the polls, due to the rally-around-the flag effect of the Iranian hostage crisis and the perceived extremism of Reagan. The continuing hostage crisis and the poor economy hurt Carter, and the prospect John B. Anderson running as an independent appealed to around 20% of Americans who saw Carter as a lesser evil to Reagan. As a result, Anderson took a third of Carter's support in the spring, but did not seem to hurt Reagan, despite Anderson being a Republican. Carter would never recover this loss of support, while Reagan would end up peeling around two-thirds of initial Anderson voters. This race remained close until near the end, when Reagan asked Americans if they were better off than they were four years ago. Afterwards Reagan managed to win a huge landslide victory in the general election.[15]
SO I SAY TO ALL OF YOU ..


Joshua 1:9

Have I not commanded you? Be strong and courageous. Do not be afraid; do not be discouraged, for the Lord your God will be with you wherever you go.”